erik lundegaard

PGAs Split, SAG Goes 'Hustle'

Over the weekend, “American Hustle” won the Screen Actors Guild award for outstanding cast while the Producers Guild gave its PGA for best film to “12 Years a Slave” and “Gravity.” The split-vote win was the first in PGA history.

What does ths mean for the Oscars? It means we have a bit of a race.

Here are the DGAs, PGAs and SAG awards as arbiter of the final Oscar choice since 1996:

Year SAG - CAST PGA DGA Oscar
2013 American Hustle 12 Years a Slave/ Gravity

2012 Argo Argo Argo Argo
2011 The Help The Artist The Artist The Artist
2010 The King's Speech The King's Speech The King's Speech The King's Speech
2009 Inglourious Bastards The Hurt Locker The Hurt Locker The Hurt Locker
2008 Slumdog Millionaire Slumdog Millionaire Slumdog Millionaire Slumdog Millionaire
2007 No Country for Old Men No Country for Old Men No Country for Old Men No Country for Old Men
2006 Little Miss Sunshine Little Miss Sunshine The Departed The Departed
2005 Crash Brokeback Mountain Brokeback Mountain Crash
2004 Sideways The Aviator Million Dollar Baby Million Dollar Baby
2003 Lord of the Rings Lord of the Rings Lord of the Rings Lord of the Rings
2002 Chicago Chicago Chicago Chicago
2001 Gosford Park Moulin Rouge! A Beautiful Mind A Beautiful Mind
2000 Traffic Gladiator Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon Gladiator
1999 American Beauty American Beauty American Beauty American Beauty
1998 Shakespeare in Love Saving Private Ryan Saving Private Ryan Shakespeare in Love
1997 The Full Monty Titanic Titanic Titanic
1996 The Birdcage The English Patient The English Patient The English Patient

The SAG cast award is the worst arbiter (9 of 17) while the DGA is the best (14 of 17). The PGA is in the middle (12 of 17), although it has a good track record recently: 6 for the last 6. Obviously that won't happen this year.

How often has SAG and PGA differed and the Oscar gone to the SAG choice? Only twice, in 1998 and 2005, and both were controversial Oscar picks: “Shakespeare in Love” over “Saving Private Ryan” (ick) and “Crash” over “Brokeback” (ickier). “Hustle” wouldn't be that (controversial), if it came to that. But I doubt it will.

In terms of Oscar prognostication, it's down to the DGAs, which are announced Jan. 25. Hey, how cool if they gave it to Martin Scorsese for “The Wolf of Wall Street”? Then we wouldn't know what to think on March 2.

Other SAG awards:

  • MALE ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE: Matthew McConaughey, “Dallas Buyers Club”
  • FEMALE ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE: Cate Blanchett, “Blue Jasmine”
  • MALE ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE: Jared Leto, “Dallas Buyers Club”
  • FEMALE ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE: Lupita Nyong'o, “12 Years A Slave”

SAG's lead actor, by the way, has been Oscar's lead actor since 2003, when SAG gave it to Johnny Depp for “Pirates” and the Oscar went to Sean Penn for “Mystic River.”

PGAs SAG winners 2014

SAG and the split PGAs: past, paster, future.


Posted at 06:32 AM on Tue. Jan 21, 2014 in category Movies - Awards  
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