erik lundegaard

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Wednesday January 26, 2011

Oscar Talk: “Most Noms” = “Best Picture”?

Because “The King's Speech” received the most Oscar nominations yesterday, 12, there's a lot of talk that it's now the frontrunner to win best picture. Example of such talk here. Hair-pulling and general cursing from Jeff Wells here.

But nobody bothered to answer the question I want answered: How often does the film with the most nominations win best picture?

So here's the recent history:

  • 2009: Tie between “Avatar” and “The Hurt Locker” with nine nominations each. “The Hurt Locker” wins best picture.
  • 2008: “The Curious Case of Benjamin Button” garners 13 noms. “Slumdog Millionaire” wins best picture.
  • 2007: Tie between “No Country for Old Men” and “There Will Be Blood,” with eight each. “No Country” wins.
  • 2006: “Dreamgirls”: eight noms. But not one for best picture, which “The Departed” wins.
  • 2005: “Brokeback Mountain” has the most noms: eight. We all remember how that turned out.
  • 2004: 11 nominations for “The Aviator”; “Million Dollar Baby,” with seven noms, wins.
  • 2003: All “Lord of the Rings: Return of the King”: 11 noms, 11 wins, includiing BP.
  • 2002: “Chicago”: 13 noms. “Chicago,” surprise best picture winner.
  • 2001: “Lord of the Rings: Fellowship of the Ring”: 11 noms. “A Beautiful Mind”: BP.
  • 2000: “Gladiator,” 12 noms and the victory.

Result: Five times in the last 10 years (2000, 2002, 2003, 2007 and 2009), the movie with the most noms won best picture.

Meaning?

Meaning 50-50. Meaning less.

Posted at 09:17 AM on Wednesday January 26, 2011 in category Movies - The Oscars