Tonight the Producers Guild of America awarded its best picture to “Argo.”

What does this mean? These are the PGAs best picture winners since 1989 (disagreements with the eventual Academy winnner in blue):

So the PGA has agreed with the Academy every year for the last five years but disagreed with AMPAS the three years before that. (I like the PGA's choices better in those years, by the way. Particularly 2005).

Does the win tonight mean Oscar momentum for “Argo,” whose director, Ben Affleck, wasn't even nominated best director by the Academy?

Here's a question that's easier to answer: Has a film ever won the Golden Globe and the PGA and not won the Oscar for best picture? Yes. Four times since 1989:

Either way, it mixes things up a bit. “Argo” now feels like the frontrunner despite its lack of director nomination, supplanting “Lincoln.” In case you're wondering, the last time a picture won best picture without a nomination for its director was in 1989: “Driving Miss Daisy,” directed by Bruce Beresford.

In other news, “Searching for Sugar Man” won best documentary.

The SAG awards are tomorrow.

Stay dry, Jeff.

“If I'm going to make a fake movie, it's going to be a fake hit.” — Fake producer Lester Siegel, now honored by real producers.