erik lundegaard

Why the Presidency Keeps Flip-Flopping Between Parties

I recently came across this quote from Karl Rove, which he said in The New Yorker in 2001:

As people do better, they start voting like Republicans ... unless they have too much education and vote Democratic, which proves there can be too much of a good thing.

It's cute, kind of funny, but focus on the first part for a moment. I think there's some truth there.

As people do better under Democratic presidents and policies, e.g., Bill Clinton's, they begin to vote Republican. But as they do worse under Republican presidents and policies, e.g., George W. Bush's, they rush to the Democrats to save them. Then they forget again and down the line vote Republican again.

Thus the presidency keeps flip-flopping between parties. Inevitably.

If I were an optimistic man, I'd say we'd wise up one day. If I were an optimistic man.

Karl Ham Rove

“I believe Ham Rove is right ... ”


Posted at 11:55 AM on Mon. Feb 17, 2014 in category Politics  
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COMMENTS

Reed wrote:

There's definitely something to that over the last 25 years. But then again, the two elections Republicans “won” weren't exactly landslides. It could simply be that we are learning from mistakes and trending away (and that Gore's campaign, Kerry's candidacy overall, and Bill Clinton's dalliances were mistakes to be learned from).

Comment posted on Tue. Feb 18, 2014 at 02:17 PM

Doodah wrote:

“If you want to live like a Republican, vote Democratic!”
- Harry S. Truman

Comment posted on Wed. Feb 19, 2014 at 03:30 PM

NickBob wrote:

The flip floppy segment is a pretty small sliver of the total, 10% makes a landslide, 2% is unremarkable, and -.05% you get Shrub.

Comment posted on Wed. Feb 19, 2014 at 04:43 PM

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