When the Guilds Disagree
Since the SAG Cast Award was created in 1996, there have been five years when all three guilds disagreed on feature film. This year is the fifth.
So which guild tends to win out at the Oscars? For best picture? It's a mixed bag.
|Year||DGA||PGA||SAG - CAST|
|2018||Roma||Green Book||Black Panther|
|2015||The Revenanat||The Big Short||Spotlight|
|2004||Million Dollar Baby||The Aviator||Sideways|
|2001||A Beautiful Mind||Moulin Rouge!||Gosford Park|
|2000||Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon||Gladiator||Traffic|
Follow-up: Does that mean this year's best picture winner is going to be one of these three films? Most likely. There's only been one year since ‘96 when a film that didn’t win any of the guilds won best picture: In 2016, “Hidden Figures” won SAG Cast, and “La La Land” won PGA and DGA, but “Moonlight” famously won best picture. That was the other shocking thing that night at the Oscars: It wasn't just the envelope screw up; it was a non-guild winner winning best picture, which was unprecedented.