erik lundegaard

Sunday April 15, 2012

Hollywood B.O.: How Hunger Games Ranks with Lord of the Rings, The Dark Knight and Avatar

“The Hunger Games” has now done something only three films since 2001 have done: ranked No. 1 at the box office for four or more consecutive weeks. The other 21st-century movies to manage this feat are: “The Lord of the Rings: Return of the King,” which lasted four weeks in 2003-04; “The Dark Knight,” four weeks in the summer of 2008; and “Avatar,” seven weeks in 2009-10.

Here are Box Office Mojo's early estimates for the April 13-15 weekend:

Rank Movie Wknd BO Thtrs Avg Total BO
1 The Hunger Games $21,500,000 3,916 $5,490 $337,070,000
2 The Three Stooges $17,100,000 3,477 $4,918 $17,100,000
3 The Cabin in the Woods $14,850,000 2,811 $5,283 $14,850,000
4 Titanic 3D $11,625,000 2,697 $4,310 $44,419,000
5 American Reunion $10,700,000 3,203 $3,341 $39,900,000
6 Mirror Mirror $7,000,000 3,206 $2,183 $49,468,000
7 Wrath of the Titans $6,905,000 3,102 $2,226 $71,251,000
8 21 Jump Street $6,800,000 2,735 $2,486 $120,565,000
9 Lockout $6,250,000 2,308 $2,708 $6,250,000
10 Dr. Seuss' The Lorax $3,020,000 2,112 $1,430 $204,483,000

Remaining No. 1 at the domestic box office for four weeks used to be fairly commonplace. How commonplace? Here are some of the less-than-stellr movies that managed it in the 1980s and '90s: “Never Say Never Again,” “Police Academy II: Their First Assignment,” “Uncle Buck,” “Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles,” “Hot Shots,” “Hook,” “Basic Instinct,” “Under Siege,” and “Indecent Proposal.” Another multiplex in hell.

It was a yearly phenomenon, and generally a several-times-a-year phenomenon, until 2001. Then the game changed. Movies began opening wide, wider, widest. No more lines around the block. You went when you wanted, and most moviegoers wanted opening weekend. Movies became a “wham bam, thank-you, ma'am” phenomenon. They roared for a week, two if they were lucky, before dropping to a whisper, and then just dropping. I wrote about all of this back in 2006 for MSNBC.

Now it takes a truly stellar film, a repeat-viewing film, to remain on top more than two weeks.

So is “Hunger Games” in the same class as “Lord of the Rings: Return of the King,” “The Dark Knight,” and “Avatar”? Or is something else going on here?

The movie has certainly had help from its March release date. The others were released in July and December, prime movie months, and went up against huge blockbusters. Katniss and company have had to fend off relatively weak competition: “Wrath of the Titans,” “American Reunion,” and “The Three Stooges.”

Even so, “THG” is already at $337 million. Its opening weekend was in “Spider-Man 3” territory ($152m vs. $151m for Spidey), and its second weekend fell off by a similar percentage (61.6% vs. 61.5% for Spidey), but since then it's held stronger. “Spidey 3” deservedly plummeted: down +50% in its third and fourth weekends, while Katniss has fallen only 43% and 35%. Its descent keeps slowing. It's got a golden parachute. Maybe from a sponsor.

Can it make $400 million? Do you want to bet against Katniss?

Katniss, taking aim at titans and stooges.

Posted at 10:55 AM on Sunday April 15, 2012 in category Movies - Box Office  
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